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Ahmadinejad seeks rebound in upcoming Iranian elections

Published: Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Updated: Thursday, February 9, 2012 01:02


TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — There's a Persian saying used to describe an under-the-radar political effort: "Driving at night with the lights off." Allies of embattled President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad may be doing just that as they campaign in Iran's hinterlands in hopes of scoring a comeback in next month's parliamentary elections.

The voting March 2 should — momentarily, at least — shift attention from Iran's international standoffs over its nuclear program back to the country's internal power plays: The ruling system striking back against perceived runaway ambitions by Ahmadinejad and his inner circle.

The battles were Iran's top political spectator sport just six months ago before being eclipsed by the latest faceoff with the West, including tougher sanctions and widening speculation of a possible Israeli military strike on nuclear facilities. The elections now offer Ahmadinejad — who's been generally sidelined in the nuclear policymaking — a chance to reclaim some political ground after being smacked hard by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei for openly challenging his authority.

Ahmadinejad's supporters are favoring stealth tactics for the first nationwide vote in Iran since the chaos after the disputed presidential outcome in June 2009.

They've turned from Tehran and other big cities — and away from the direct competition with rivals loyal to Khamenei — to focus on far-flung and poorer regions of the country. It's here that Ahmadinejad can deploy his most powerful tool: Access to government funds that are currently awash in Iranian rials because of an indirect benefit from sanctions.

The rial has nosedived in value while the government still brings in dollars from oil sales. This may allow Ahmadinejad's backers to make even bolder promises of handouts and other measures to ease consumer pain with prices of imported good sharply higher as sanctions squeeze businesses.

Any new pledges would add to some $40 a month that Ahmadinejad's government is paying to every Iranian after cutting parts of food and energy subsidies in 2010 — a significant amount for large families in impoverished areas.

A strong showing by Ahmadinejad's camp would send a message of resilience to the ruling clerics after the messy political feuds. It also could rekindle Ahmadinejad's hopes of getting an ally into next year's presidential race to succeed him and possibly prolong his influence as an elder statesman. Ahmadinejad is in his second four-year term, the maximum under Iran's term limits.

"They are ‘driving with their lights off,'" said veteran lawmaker Hasan Ghafourifard, an Ahmadinejad critic. "But it's still not clear how much support they can get."

Even modest gains would be seen as an uptick for Ahmadinejad's political fortunes. The current parliament — dominated by Ahmadinejad opponents and hard-line Khamenei loyalists — is bearing down hard.

On Tuesday, lawmakers said they would issue an order this week to bring Ahmadinejad for questioning on alleged economic mismanagement and his spats with Khamenei. The summons was the first of its kind for an Iranian president since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

Ahmadinejad had once been considered a favored son of Khamenei, who quickly endorsed the disputed 2009 election results even as protests swelled on Tehran's streets. The ties began to fray, however, as Ahmadinejad tried to expand the influence of the presidency into areas tightly controlled by the ruling theocracy, such as foreign policy and intelligence gathering.

A serious rupture occurred in April when Ahmadinejad threw a political tantrum after Khamenei's order to reinstate the intelligence minister, Heidar Moslehi, who had been dismissed by Ahmadinejad. The president boycotted Cabinet meetings for more than a week in an unprecedented show of disrespect to Iran's leader, who hard-liners believe is answerable only to God.

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